McDonnell/Bolling Announce Job Initiatives (Press Release)

Bringing New Jobs and Opportunity to Virginia
Bob McDonnell and Bill Bolling will lead an administration dedicated to helping create new jobs for more Virginians. They understand that most Virginians have been impacted by this economic downturn, and that people are anxious about what the future holds. That's why they will make their top priority bringing new jobs and greater opportunity to every corner of the Commonwealth.
To lay a solid foundation for sustained economic success, the next four years cannot be about fast talk and idle promises. It has to be about strong leadership to obtain practical solutions and measurable results, and using Virginia's highest office to put in place the building blocks that will produce good jobs and incomes for all Virginians.
Bob and Bill are focused on growing Virginia's economy, creating new jobs, re-training our workforce for 21st century jobs, and allowing all Virginians to achieve their dreams. Virginians will benefit from McDonnell and Bolling's vision of a robust private sector, more incentives for businesses that locate or expand in Virginia, and a government that lives within its means, thereby allowing citizens to keep more of what they earn to invest and to spend as they see fit.
Bob McDonnell and Bill Bolling have bold ideas and specific proposals to help overcome the challenges Virginians are facing and get our economy moving again.
Chief Job Creation Officer Nearly every policy proposal of this campaign has a job creation and economic opportunity component. From increasing the number of college degrees awarded by 100,000 over the next 15 years to ensuring that our workforce in Virginia is one of the most highly skilled and knowledgeable and highest paid in the county, to making Virginia the energy capital of the East Coast to bring thousands of jobs to Virginia in the coal, nuclear, oil and natural gas, solar, wind, and biomass industries, a McDonnell/Bolling administration will be about helping the private sector create new jobs and more opportunities.
While several of the jobs-creating and workforce and economic development agencies are currently under the Secretary of Commerce (VDEP, Tobacco Commission, VEC, DBA, Tourism), many are organized under other secretariats, such as the Department of Minority Business Enterprise, Virginia Career Education Foundation, Office of Workforce Development, etc.
Additionally, our proposals on energy, higher education, K-12, etc. are based on creating new jobs and growing the economy, and will push even more jobs initiatives to disparate arms of state government.
We need strong leadership to coordinate all these efforts and make sure that every opportunity is fully explored to attract industry, help entrepreneurs, and create jobs.
· As Governor, Bob McDonnell will appoint Lieutenant Governor Bolling to serve as "Virginia's Chief Job Creation Officer" in the McDonnell/Bolling Administration
· As Virginia's Chief Job Creation Officer, the Lieutenant Governor would help coordinate all economic development and job creation initiatives across the various agencies of state government. The Chief Jobs Officer would be responsible to and acting at the direction of the Governor. Having the states second highest elected officer actively involved in recruiting new industries signals the importance of bringing new jobs to our state.
· The Chief Jobs Officer would serve in a coordinating and oversight role with the various Secretaries, Agency heads, and initiative and program leaders to make sure all entities are working together in a coordinated and focused manner to attract new business to the state, expand existing businesses, and to create jobs.
· The Chief Job Creation Officer, in coordination with the Secretary of Commerce and Trade, will evaluate all of Virginia's job creation incentives and initiatives to determine the best program to increase the return on our investment. Virginia has many mechanisms to attract jobs to Virginia and help existing businesses expand. The Governor's Opportunity Fund (GOF), the Virginia Investment Partnership Grant, the Major Eligible Employer Grant, the Virginia Economic Development Incentive Grant, as well as numerous tax credits and bond funding programs give the Commonwealth a significant tool chest to work from. In order to ensure that we are getting the best bang for the buck, we need to reevaluate our job creation incentives to determine which combination will provide the best return on our investment and successfully close the deal. We need to reach out to small, existing and large businesses and ask them what the best and most effective tools are in recruiting, retaining and expanding jobs in Virginia. As part of this analysis we must explore whether it makes sense to have so many different incentive grants and whether we should streamline the process and consolidate these various grant programs.
Rural Economic Development Many of our rural cities and counties in Virginia have been hardest hit by the economic downturn. The City of Covington's unemployment increased by 6.1 % in just the past year; Wythe County's unemployment rate rose to 11.6% from 3.6%; King William saw a 4.6% increase in their unemployment rate; Smyth County had an increase of 7.1%; and the City of Martinsville has the highest unemployment rate in the state at 20.2%.
While these are hard numbers to face, we know that these rural cities and counties will be a critical part of the economic engine to turn Virginia around. They are the life blood of our great Commonwealth and they are filled with hardworking individuals who we will not forget.
· The McDonnell/Bolling administration will designate one Deputy Secretary of Commerce to focus solely on rural economic development. This position will make recommendations directly to the Secretary of Commerce, the Chief Job Creation Officer, and the Governor on how to spur economic opportunities in rural cities and counties in the short and long term. This Deputy will spend extensive time in rural communities helping develop innovative and meaningful ways to retain and increase jobs in these areas.
· This individual will be from a rural area and have experience with job creation in those areas.
Expansion and retooling of the Governor's Opportunity FundThe Governor's Opportunity Fund (GOF) is designed as a "deal closing" fund to be employed at the Governor's discretion when necessary to secure a company location or expansion in Virginia. The GOF serves as a final resource for Virginia in the face of serious competition from other states or countries. A GOF grant is awarded to the Virginia locality, with the expectation that the grant will assist in attracting new industry, resulting in the creation of new jobs and capital investment.
Currently Virginia's GOF is budgeted at a level nearly 33% lower than the 2000-2002 levels, and another significant job creation initiative - the VEDP - is operating 25% lower than 2000-2002 levels. This is happening at a time when neighboring states and foreign countries are much more aggressive in marketing new incentives at attract jobs.
In FY2008, the GOF grants resulted in companies announcing new capital investments of $1.728 billion and the creation of 4,881 new jobs. The average projected salary for these announced new jobs is $49,292, which is 43% above the prevailing average wage of $34,521 among the localities which received GOF funds.
During these tough economic times it is puzzling that the fund has not been used to the maximum extent possible. For the first 13 years of the Fund, FY 1992-2005, all monies appropriated to the fund were fully invested in job creating businesses. However since 2006, Governor Kaine has left cash balances available for investment. Because the GOF takes in interest and the funds have not been fully spent, the current balance available for commitment is about $11,200,000, through the third quarter of this past fiscal year. That's $11.2 million that could be spent right now to bring jobs to Virginia and expand existing businesses to create more jobs.
This is not to say that money should be spent just because it is allocated, but during these tough economic times when many companies are closing shop in Virginia, it is hard to believe that all resources have not been used to keep Virginia companies open and recruit more jobs to locate in Virginia.
· As Governor, Bob McDonnell will use and manage the GOF in new ways:
o Double the amount of the fund to about $40 million every 2 years. It is clear that our surrounding states are investing significantly more in job creation incentives than Virginia and we must increase our investment to be more competitive. Florida's Quick Action Closing Fund is appropriated at $46 million, and a similar fund for Arkansas received $50 million. A 2005 report by Virginia's Economic Development Partnership states that many of Virginia's competitors have significant leads over Virginia in terms of primary incentive programs - North Carolina invested $171 million in combined programs; Pennsylvania invested $106 million; Georgia invested $96 million; and South Carolina invested $70 million. Virginia invested about $60 million.
o Expand the use of the GOF so that more businesses and the employees they hire will benefit. We will change the GOF rules to include not just job creation and capital investment as the criteria to qualify, but we will also allow companies that generate significant additional state and local tax revenue to qualify. We will also propose lower local matches for large projects, raising the governor's authority to $2 million per deal, and making it easier to qualify for projects in central cities and urban cores.
Job Creation Tax CreditThe Major Business Facility Job Tax Credit was created by Governor George Allen and has been successful in helping businesses expand and relocate to Virginia. The program is easily administered and was reauthorized by the 2009 General Assembly through 2020. The tax credit can be claimed by companies engaged in any business in the Commonwealth, except for retail trade business, that create at least 100 new full-time jobs in connection with the establishment or expansion of a major business facility. In the event that a major business facility is located in an economically distressed area or in an enterprise zone, the threshold is lowered to 50 jobs.
· Bob McDonnell recognizes that not all businesses can expand by 100 employees during these tough economic times. To expand the use of this successful program and incentivize job creation, Bob McDonnell will remove the 100 job threshold and give any company that creates at least 50 jobs the $1,000 tax credit.
· For facilities that locate in an enterprise zone or economically distressed area, we will lower the threshold from 50 to 25 jobs.
· Also, so that more job creating facilities will be eligible for this tax credit, we will consider economically distressed area as those having unemployment rates 150% greater than the state average, to put it on par with the GOF. Currently, an area shall qualify as severely economically distressed if it is a city or county with an unemployment rate for the preceding year of at least twice the average statewide unemployment rate for such year.
· We will propose this expansion of the tax credit for 2 years or until the economy recovers.

Olde Salem Days Republican Breakfast

Olde Salem Days and the Annual Republican Breakfast are right around the corner. The festivities are scheduled for September 12, 2009.

As always, we'll be having our big Republican breakfast that morning and then we'll hit the street for Olde Salem Days itself. Those of you who made it last year know the entire day was a huge success with over 175 people at the breakfast and dozens and dozens of volunteers at our booth. Should be a great event again this year as we're expecting all of the statewide and local politicians to participate.

Tickets to the breakfast will be available shortly but you're welcome to email me now to reserve your spot (it will definitely sell out this year). Also, we're looking for volunteers so email me if you're willing to help.

WHAT: OLDE SALEM DAYS BREAKFAST
WHEN: SEPTEMBER 12, 2009 from 8:00-9:30 a.m.
WHERE: SALEM CIVIC CENTER
COST: $20 per person (under 5 free)

Please email or call (815-8028) for more information or to buy tickets.

Is The PPP Poll A "Virginia Democratic Poll?"

As I mentioned below, the newest 2009 VA polls are very encouraging for Virginia Republicans. It's early but I'd rather be ahead than behind.

As a poll junkie, I'm always as interested in the methodology and background of polls as I am in the results. This particular poll was conducted by Public Policy Polling. PPP is a North Carolina outfit that typically polls for Democrats.

While it's polls are often paid for by Democrats, it is calling this poll a public poll that is not paid for by anyone. Hmmmm?

If this is a "public poll," why does the poll itself refer to it as a "Virginia Democratic Poll?" Click here to view the poll yourself. Look at the heading on Page 2 - "Virginia Democratic Poll."

Maybe this was a slip up. Maybe they've been polling the Democratic Primary so long they just carried over their heading. Regardless, it seems a little strange. Anyone know the answer? Couple points we could quibble with in the cross-tabs but nothing egregious. Hopefully we'll get an answer from PPP.

Update - Today PPP released a VA poll regarding the popularity of Obama, Kaine, Warner and Webb (FWIW, Obama's numbers are falling FAST). It too is labelled "Virginia Democratic Poll" (which makes more sense in this case). Could it be that they just used the same format for both?

So Much For The "Deeds Bounce"

Not unexpectedly, the "Deeds Bounce" following the primary is now completely gone and Bob McDonnell is back with a statistically significant lead. Here are the numbers in each race.

McDonnell leads 49-43
Bolling leads 46-40
Cuccinelli leads 45-38

Few random thoughts. First, I'm a poll junkie so, while I know July polls mean little, I can't help but comment. Having said that, take everything with a huge grain of salt since it's so early.

McDonnell's lead and the fact that he's so close to 50% is very encouraging. Both these guys have solid name recognition and the relative lack of undecideds in this race says this poll may have a little (just a little) more merit.

I'm fascinated by Cuccinelli in this race. I've always said Cuccinelli has the hardest support of any of our 3 among his base and he should have no trouble getting a hard 45%. The big question with him is whether or not he can crack 50%. This poll is encouraging but doesn't answer the question. It's encouraging because Cooch's 45% probably isn't going anywhere and there are plenty of undecideds left to pick up. It's inconclusive because he's running slightly behind the other 2 so he has a little work left to do with R voters. All in all though, very positive sign.

Just a couple thoughts. We'll have to keep watching the polls over the next couple months to get a feel for where this thing is heading. Having said that, I'd much rather be the R ticket right now than the D ticket.

Huge Gaffe By Deeds Campaign

So Bob McDonnell took the bold step of outlining a plan for 10 debates this year as we head towards the November Gubernatorial election. They were careful to space them well, touch every geographic region, play nice with the necessary media folks and pundits and offered a reasonable well thought out plan.

Deeds' strangely snarky response contained nothing but a shot at McDonnell, a NO to the proposal and a vague reference to the debate schedule in 2005.

Here's why this is a huge gaffe for Deeds.

1) McDonnell is driving the agenda and Deeds' weak response reinforces who is the pro in the race.

2) McDonnell is running like he's the underdog. Deeds is already giving the appearance that he's trying to run out the clock following his primary victory. Unless you're Mark Warner leading Jim Gilmore by 30 points, that's never a good strategy Mr. Deeds.

3) Deeds now looks like the guy that's afraid to be exposed. Following up on a Governor who refuses to even disclose his location, lack of transparency from Deeds will become a big issue for him.

4) Deeds just ticked off some important media players. He's essentially agreeing to 3 Debates, which, by simple math, excludes some major media players. He's just spit in the eye of major media players in Roanoke, Richmond, NOVA and HR as well as Sabato, smaller media outlets and more.

Let me be clear, I don't know if 10 debates is the right number. I also don't think that Deeds has to accept whatever McDonnell throws out. What I do think is that the Deeds response was about the worst he could do. It looked reactive, not well thought out and just plain small.

Bob, please keep running like you're the underdog. Creigh, please keep running scared.

Tim Kaine - Governor Of New Jersey?

Might as well be since he's no longer acting as Governor of Virginia. Read about his demotion to Governor of New Jersey here.

Is Roanoke County A Republican Stronghold?

Roanoke County Democratic Chair Brian Lang asserted in the comments on Star City Harbinger that it was a "myth" that Roanoke County was a "Republican Stronghold." I thought I'd look at the numbers and see for myself. I'm going to copy my comment here for our readers.

Alright Brian, let’s as you say “look at the actual numbers” and see if Roanoke County is a “Republican stronghold” or if that is a “myth.”

2008
McCain (R) - 59.97% - 38.86%
Warner (D) - 59.05% - 39.88%
Goodlatte (R) - 64.35% - 34.25%

2007
R. Smith (R) - 52.24% - 47.55%
McGraw (D) - 60.60% - 39.23%
Moore (D) - 50.29% - 47.81%

2006
Allen (R) - 58.59% - 40.15%

2005
Kilgore (R) - 52.81% - 44.71%
Bolling (R) - 59.95% - 39.95%
McDonnell (R) - 57.54% - 42.39%

2004
Bush (R) - 65.14% - 34.24%

I only went back to 2004 because, frankly, I got bored. If that cut off skewed the numbers, I apologize. So what do we learn?

1. Since 2004, there have been 10 races that included a Republican and a Democrat that covered all or most of Roanoke County. Republicans won 8 of those 10. The only D winners were Warner and McGraw. Moore’s win only covered one magisterial district so it’s impressive and relevant to that area but it’s difficult to apply it to Roanoke County as a whole.

2. Republicans have won the “top of the ticket” race every single year.

3. Like most jurisdictions, Roanoke County sees very few contested local races. Frankly, I’m excited that this has changed this year.

4. Morgan Griffith’s portion of Roanoke County may be slightly more R than the 17th based on last year alone.

Conclusions? I’ll let people make their own decisions about what the numbers mean but, to me, they show pretty unequivocally that when the Rs run a candidate of even minimum competence in Roanoke County, the R wins. Don’t know if that’s a “stronghold” but it’s pretty impressive.

Let’s see if that plays out this year. I have complete confidence that the R statewide ticket will sweep Roanoke County and Bill Cleaveland and Morgan Griffith will win solidly but those races, especially the 17th, will be interesting barometers.

Octavia Johnson Launches Re-Election Website

See the site below:

http://octaviajohnson.com/

Best Cities Survey

Currently Roanoke is #2 in this survey please vote:

http://www.kiplinger.com/money/bestcities/vote.php

RIP Michael Jackson

While his private life was controversial there is no doubt most people enjoyed his music. Personally I was partial to Man in the Mirror. I vividly remember my brother and I getting the Thriller album and being somewhat scared of the video, I was 6.

I always thought I would catch a show of his before he died but lesson learned. Don't put off till tomorrow what can be accomplished today.